[ STATUS: RECRUITING ]/50 ADA → 50 TRACERS/LAST-MILE TRACE/LABEL DISTRIBUTIONSCAN
[ The Red (or Blue) Pill Study ]

Make the
exchanges
light up.

Last-mile traceability to the exchanges.

“Which on-chain addresses actually belong to the exchanges?” Readers kept asking after the last report. Nobody had mapped them, and a forensic trace goes cold the moment funds reach an exchange. Your tracer slips in and moves silently through its wallets; a non-fungible token cannot commingle, so the last mile finally has an exact map.

50 ADA
one order
50 tracers, FIFO
1 UTxO
carries the tracer at every hop
Labels
every cluster's full split is published
agreement sets confidence
Refund
in full if interest is short of the line
▼ SCROLL TO DECRYPT
01
[ THE PROBLEM ]

Cardano has no map of exchange wallets

A question readers kept asking after the last report: which on-chain addresses actually belong to the exchanges?

“Which on-chain addresses actually belong to the exchanges?”> readers, after the last report

Nobody has mapped them. Every exchange’s wallets are an unlabelled web: a hub, a few hops, a question mark over who owns it. No comprehensive map exists, so this study builds one, in the open.

Who owns these?unmapped
?
?
?
deposithotcold
02
[ HOW IT WORKS ]

Drop a tracer, watch it light up

  1. 1
    Mint a tracer
    One unique native token. It cannot be split or duplicated.
  2. 2
    Deposit it to your exchange
    Send it to your own deposit address; we build the tx for you.
  3. 3
    Follow it on-chain
    One UTxO carries it at every hop. We follow it and update the live map.

Why it works: unlike fungible ada, a non-fungible tracer cannot commingle.

Fungible ada
Commingles

coins mix in a UTxO, the thread is lost

Non-fungible tracer
One path, always

one UTxO carries it at every hop

03
[ INSIDE THE EXCHANGE ]

Wherever the tracer stops, a wallet gets tagged

Deposits sweep to a hot wallet for liquidity, then to cold storage for safety. The non-fungible tracer rides every move.

Exchange internals →
your tracer
enters
DEPOSIT
✓ taggedfunds land
swept
HOT
✓ taggedliquidity
stored
COLD
✓ taggedkept offline

Sits, swept, or stored, every stop is a wallet we tag.

04
[ THE DELIVERABLE ]

A public map of which wallets belong to which exchange

Each label is inferred from independent voluntary deposits. On-chain footprint only, not a confirmed entity.

ABCExchange Aconfidence: highExchange Bconfidence: mediumExchange Cconfidence: lowcold · corehot · middle ringdeposit · edgegray = unmapped

A reusable, public map of exchange-controlled wallets, built to close the loop for any forensic study: when a trace dead-ends at an exchange wallet, the map says which exchange, turning a dead end into an answer. For each cluster we publish the full tracer-label distribution; the agreement among independent depositors, plus whether the address reads as exchange infrastructure, sets its confidence. See the live map →

A participatory study

You mint to map.

This continues the report’s transparency work, from a new angle. A trace goes cold the moment funds reach an exchange, so you mint tracers to use them: drop them into your exchanges and they reveal which wallets the exchanges own. Tools, not collectibles. The map is the point, and it stays public.

05
[ VALIDITY ]

We only go when the data will hold

We proceed only with enough volume and enough unique wallets. The same two axes set each published label’s confidence.

Go / no-go frontier
we go hereGONO-GO→ refundfunds received →unique wallets →
Volume
Enough labelled tracers
Participation
Enough unique wallets
Past the line we go. Short of it, everyone is refunded in full.

> thin data is never published.

> We publish the findings in the future, when the data is sufficient to stand behind and the timing is compatible with the wider investigation.

> This study will not run indefinitely: we update the map as appropriate, and once the findings stabilize it concludes. Because the data is on-chain, anyone can keep tracing exchanges from the tracer policy id and assets and update the findings afterward.

06
[ KEEPING THE DATA HONEST ]

Built to resist poisoning

A bad actor can send a tracer to the wrong, or an arbitrary, address and report a false exchange.

On-chain topology is immutable, so the flow a tracer takes cannot be forged. The self-reported exchange label is a soft input, and poisoning it is the main attack to defend against.

We publish the full label distribution

Each cluster shows every exchange its tracers claimed, with counts. The dominant label and the agreement among independent depositors set its confidence; a lone false report stays visible as an outlier, not silently dropped.

Exchange-shape corroboration

A label only counts if the address independently reads as exchange infrastructure: heavy throughput, many distinct depositors, the token junk-drawer, third-party explorer labels. A fabricated target address fails this test.

Ground-truth anchors

We seed exchanges with our own honest deposits. Reports that contradict those anchors are caught and down-weighted.

Sybil and collusion checks

Converging depositors that share a funding origin or one burst of activity count as a single voice, so no lone actor can manufacture agreement.

Cost

Every false report burns a tracer, a fee, and the min-ADA that rides with it. Out-numbering honest depositors on a real exchange gets expensive fast.

Inferred, not proven

Every label carries its depositor count, the converging txids, and its corroboration. Thin or contested clusters are withheld. On-chain footprint only, not a confirmed entity.

> A malicious actor can mint tracers and deposit them with a false label. Data integrity holds as long as honest depositors outnumber the malicious ones, which is cheap for us and expensive for an attacker. see how false reports surface on the map →

07
[ HOW TO PARTICIPATE ]

Four steps, start to finish

1~1 week
Fund

Send 50 ADA. We proceed if there is enough interest, full refund if not.

2~1-2 days
Mint

We mint your 50 tracers and hand-deliver them to you.

3~2 weeks
Send

We build the tx, you pick the exchange and sign.

4ongoing
Trace

Weekly analysis as tracers flow through, labelling the exchange wallets.

50 ADA buys 50 tracers, minted FIFO. Anything over 50 is a donation. Want more than 50? Send separate, independent 50-ADA transactions. Mint and delivery happen off-chain to stay ada-efficient, a trust step, stated plainly. Tracers are unique by serial only: no art, no rarity, no perks.

08
[ YOUR PRIVACY ]

It traces the exchange, not you.

A tracer follows the exchange you send it to, not your wallet history. To keep your part in the study unlinked from your personal funds, do not mint from your personal wallet.

Keep your participation unlinked

To avoid tying this study to your personal wallets:

  1. Create a fresh Cardano wallet you use only for this study.
  2. Fund it with a small withdrawal from a centralised exchange, not a transfer from your existing wallet, so there is no on-chain link back to you.
  3. Send your 50 ADA to the study from that fresh wallet, and deploy the tracers from it.
09
[ SEND ]

Pick a tracer, point it at your exchange

We format your form input into a structured, on-chain metadata record, so anyone can reproduce the study.

You provide
choose a tracer in your wallet
#012
your exchange
Exchange A
its deposit address
addr1qx… paste yours
we build it
Ready to sign
send #012 → your deposit address
+ metadata
{ exchange: "A" }
Sign & send

Only your exchange pick goes in the metadata; the tracer and the deposit are already in the txid and asset name, so the label is permanent and anyone can reproduce it. You just sign.

10
[ DEPLOY YOUR TRACERS ]

Get the most from your tracers

This is why a mint is a batch of 50: do not send them all to one address at once. Spread them, and they fan out across more of the exchange's wallets.

How four tracers might flow through one exchange · hypothetical
DEPOSIT ADDRESSESAGGREGATION WALLETSCOLD COREagg 1agg 2agg 3cold coreday 1T1day 1T2day 3T3day 6T4every deposit hits an aggregator first · adjacent ones may share it, some get swept on to the cold core
1
Use several deposit addresses

If your exchange lets you generate a fresh deposit address, do it and send tracers to several. A new deposit address may be served by a different aggregation wallet, so more of the consolidation layer lights up.

2
Spread them over time

Send in batches over days, not all at once. Deposits get swept on different schedules into different hot and cold wallets, so staggering reveals more of the plumbing.

11
[ LEADERBOARD ]

Map the most, top the board

We keep score: contributors are ranked by the agreed exchange wallets their tracers map. Spread your batch to climb it.

Mapper leaderboardranked by agreed nodes mapped8 contributors
#Study walletAgreed nodesBranches
1addr1qxmapp…e1f24114
2addr1qymapp…e2f33812
3addr1qzmapp…f3g43311
4addr1qwmapp…g4h5279
5addr1qvmapp…h5j6228
6addr1qumapp…j6k7196
7addr1qtmapp…k7l8145
8addr1qsmapp…l8m993

Only corroborated nodes score, so the board rewards mapping the wider set agrees on, not raw deposit volume or lone claims. Spreading a batch across deposit addresses and over time is how you climb it.

> example board, invented data; it fills in as tracers land once the study runs.

12
[ TRACE ]

We follow them in

Exchange wallets are black holes for NFTs: tracers flow in, never out. Each one settles into the exchange’s infrastructure, and we label every wallet it touches.

#012 swept in →#048 swept in →#091 swept in →
COLD
13
[ JOIN IN ]

Grab a tracer

50 ADA 50 tracers

Mint your tracers, drop them in your exchanges, and watch them light up. Full refund if interest is short of the line.

No ADA? Contribute another way

Support the investigation from any chain. It funds the tracing, not a treasury, and it does not mint tracers (those are ADA-only).

BTCBitcoinbc1qnxx3xg8snykvsj0nufvzj6v4x8dgswthe7t8mp
ETHEthereum0x89eEc99361B65A73ddd717B322146a3a7776Df87
SOLSolana6dWNSFmqoauuMBZYtzSspfNuZDTTPa16811SvFz3abJz

An exchange label is an inference from voluntary deposits, on-chain footprint only, not a confirmed entity. Reaching an address shows contact and sweep behaviour, not custody of any named party’s funds. The tracers are research tools, not an investment or a collectible. What this proves, and what it doesn’t →